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2024-12-14 01:48:29

After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.Macy's fell 8.2% before the market, and the company lowered its profit outlook after discovering accounting errors.The European Stoxx 600 Bank Stock Index hit a new high since August 2015, up 0.27%.


Traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut. After the CPI report was released, swap traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut before the end of 2025. They now predict that by that time, they will cut interest rates by 87 basis points, which means that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. In 2025, there will be another two interest rate cuts of 25 basis points each time, which is less than the four times proposed by Fed officials in the latest quarterly bitmap in September.Albertson terminated its merger with krogh and announced an increase in dividend and repurchase plan. albertson Company announced that it had exercised its right to terminate its merger agreement with krogh, because the US District Court in Oregon and the District Court in Washington issued an injunction on the proposed merger on December 10th. Vivek Sankaran, CEO of the company, commented: "In view of the recent decision of the federal and state courts to block the proposed merger between the company and krogh, we have made a difficult decision to terminate the merger agreement. We are very disappointed with the court's decision. " In addition, the board of directors of albertson Company plans to increase the quarterly cash dividend from $0.12 to $0.15 per share, and approved a stock repurchase plan of up to $2 billion.US official: Russia may launch another experimental Oreshnik missile into Ukraine in the next few days. It is expected that Russia's Oreshnik missile is not a game changer on the battlefield, but an attempt to intimidate Ukraine.


In 2024, the e-sports industry grew by 4.6% year-on-year, and the live broadcast revenue of e-sports content accounted for the highest proportion. On December 11th, the 2024 China E-sports Industry Annual Conference was held in Beijing. The 2024 China E-sports Industry Report was officially released at the meeting. According to the report, the actual income of e-sports industry in China in 2024 was 27.568 billion yuan, up 4.6% year-on-year. In the income composition, the live broadcast of e-sports content is still the sector with the highest proportion of income, reaching 80.84%; The income from the competition accounts for 8.75%; E-sports club income is 6.37%, and other income is 4.04%. (The country is a through train)CITIC Bank: Redemption of open-ended capital bonds. CITIC Bank announced that from December 9 to December 11, 2019, it issued RMB 40 billion of open-ended capital bonds (hereinafter referred to as "current bonds"), and on December 12, 2019, it issued the Announcement of China CITIC Bank Corporation on the Completion of Issuance of Open-ended Capital Bonds. According to the relevant provisions of the prospectus of this issue, this issue has the issuer's conditional redemption right, and the issuer has the right to redeem this issue in whole or in part on the interest payment date of the fifth year of this issue, that is, December 11, 2024. As of the date of this announcement, with the approval of the State Financial Supervision and Administration, the Bank has exercised the right of redemption and redeemed the bonds in full.CPOPC: The price of palm oil is expected to fluctuate in the range of RM 4,000-5,000 in 2025. It is reported that the Council of Palm Oil Producers (CPOPC) predicts that the price of palm oil may fluctuate in the range of RM 4,000-5,000 per ton in 2025, driven by the stagnant production in major markets, especially Indonesia and Malaysia. Deputy Secretary-General CPOPC pointed out that the current price level around RM5,000 per ton may be temporary, mainly affected by the continuous floods in Malaysia, which boosted the bullish sentiment in the market. Due to the aging plantations, unpredictable weather and limited expansion to new plantations, it is expected that the cessation of production will tighten global supply and further push up prices.

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